23 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1522
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Precek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1496
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Precek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H14-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.