23 Sept · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1595
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krupnik
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1522
FormWLWWW
56%
44%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (118)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H20-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-14)