23 Sept · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1466
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jemelka
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1493
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Chlad covers set handicap as underdog 63% (49)
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.