23 Sept · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1593
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ruzicka
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1519
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 65% (49)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H18-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-16)