23 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1573
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1543
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strelec🌟Strelec covers set handicap as underdog 72% (46)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H19-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.