23 Sept · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1607
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sarganek
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1499
FormLLWWL
59%
41%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 64% (90)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H25-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-18)