23 Sept · 18:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1569
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kleprlik
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1546
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanak🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 76% (45)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.