23 Sept · 18:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1618
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Skvrna
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1499
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zaskodny🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (156)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)