23 Sept · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1417
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vyskocil
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1490
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dlask🌟Vyskocil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (87)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)