23 Sept · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1607
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sarganek
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1530
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 64% (90)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H40-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-27)