23 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1524
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1569
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (49)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.