23 Sept · 17:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1448
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Hons
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1574
FormLLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Hons
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)