23 Sep · 09:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1578
3-2Final setsLovl won
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1529
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lovl at 54%. The actual result was Jan Lovl 3-2 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Lovl favoured — closing 1.62
Total 74.5
85 points played
Set handicap
Jan Lovl −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Lovl −4.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Lovl is favoured to win, below means Radek Neterda.
▲ Jan Lovlpre 58% → final 1%
Radek Neterda ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsNeterda recovered from 36%70 points · 4 games