23 Sept · 22:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1490
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1528
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vyskocil🌟Vich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (79)
Fair odds · Vich
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H72-83
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.