23 Sept · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1497
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vosyka
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1448
FormWWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H13-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.