23 Sept · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1515
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1552
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.