23 Sept · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1528
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kos
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1435
FormWWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H20-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-19)