23 Sept · 21:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1591
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1604
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (76)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H34-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.