23 Sept · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1379
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1462
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (84)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H27-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-24)