23 Sept · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Josef Vintr
ELO 1488
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vintr🌟Cesak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (68)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)