23 Sept · 21:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MJ
🇨🇿Matyas Jinek
ELO 1401
FormLLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Martin
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Martin stays under total as favourite 67% (36)
Fair odds · Martin
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)