23 Sept · 20:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1487
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeman
KZ
🇨🇿Karel Zeman
ELO 1494
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Reska🌟Zeman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (74)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H11-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.