23 Sept · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1453
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1556
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H29-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-18)