24 Sept · 12:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1411
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rein
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vojna
ELO 1411
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Vojna goes over total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Rein
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.