24 Sept · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1437
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kral
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1500
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 74% (84)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)