24 Sept · 13:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1397
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jamrich
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1402
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Marat goes over total as underdog 64% (83)
Fair odds · Jamrich
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H16-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.