23 Sept · 23:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1533
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Martin
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1473
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
🌟Martin stays under total as favourite 67% (36)
Fair odds · Martin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)