24 Sept · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1565
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H10-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.