24 Sept · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1456
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1534
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (175)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H22-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-14)