24 Sept · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1456
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1565
FormLLLWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Langer covers set handicap as underdog 62% (169)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H61-61
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)