24 Sept · 10:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1505
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sedlacek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1491
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 67% (76)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.