24 Sept · 11:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1432
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sedivy
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedivy
ELO 1467
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 65% (113)
Fair odds · Sedivy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.