24 Sept · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1561
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Trnka
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1466
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)