24 Sept · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1466
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Flesar
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1433
FormLLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Flesar stays under total as favourite 63% (41)
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H3-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.