24 Sept · 08:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1627
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Krenek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1505
FormLLLWW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (46)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H13-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-12)