24 Sept · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1565
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1565
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H43-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.