24 Sept · 09:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1701
FormWWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lysakowski
BF
🇨🇿Bartosz Fraczek
ELO 1539
FormWLLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+162
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)