24 Sept · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1596
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pribyl
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1550
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.