24 Sept · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1682
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1732
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kadavy🌟Kadavy covers set handicap as underdog 63% (63)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H44-89
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.