24 Sept · 17:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1732
FormLLWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Bochnak
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1549
FormWLLLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+183
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)