24 Sept · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1801
FormWWLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Cerny
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1549
FormWLLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+252
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+252)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)