24 Sept · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1479
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Martin
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1539
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Martin stays under total as favourite 67% (36)
Fair odds · Martin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)