24 Sept · 16:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1529
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Neterda
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1479
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
🌟Jr goes over total as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.