24 Sept · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1700
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Moravec
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1596
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H13-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)