24 Sept · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1400
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dvorak
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1486
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (58)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H19-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)