24 Sept · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1571
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pribyl
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1596
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.