24 Sept · 19:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1448
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Komorowicz
ST
🇨🇿Szymon Toborek
ELO 1434
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Komorowicz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.