24 Sept · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1359
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1552
FormLLWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+193
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)