25 Sept · 09:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1782
FormLLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Cerny
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1615
FormLWWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+167
H2H79-71
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (79-71)