25 Sept · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1451
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1563
FormLLWLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Janik🌟Janik covers set handicap as underdog 68% (40)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)